Bill Oppenheim's "In My Opinion"
Monday, March 23, 2020

An excerpt of Bill Oppenheim's "In My Opinion" column in BloodHorse Daily, posted on March 22.

---

Under the RADAR: Fourth-Crop Sire Paynter

It's not easy for sires to keep their spots on the Kentucky stallion roster. The top 10 North American sires who went to stud in 2014 (first foals in 2015, first 5-year-olds in 2020) by cumulative progeny earnings all started off in Kentucky, but only five of the 10 still stand there. Interestingly, four of the five no longer in Kentucky—New Year's Day (via Brazil), Declaration of War, Shanghai Bobby, and Animal Kingdom—are in Japan; Flat Out  is now in Oklahoma.

Of those who remain, only Violence , second by cumulative progeny earnings to New Year's Day, the sire of Maximum Security, stands for more than $20,000, and only Declaration of War has more than one grade/group 1 winner. Take Charge Indy , third by cumulative progeny earnings, was justifiably repatriated from South Korea by WinStar and stands for $17,500; but it is another WinStar stallion, fourth-ranked Paynter, whose name keeps popping up on the score sheets, to the point where he is looking exceptionally good value at his current $10,000 stud fee. 

Paynter was a $325,000 yearling trained by Bob Baffert for Zayat Stables and was a frontrunning, two-turn 3-year-old in 2012 when he set the pace and finished second, a neck behind Union Rags, in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and kicked clear off a contested pace to win the Haskell Invitational Stakes (G1).

By Ghostzapper's sire, Awesome Again, out of a full sister to Tiznow , Paynter went to stud at WinStar Farm, where he stood his first two seasons for $25,000, then the next two for $20,000, and registered over 340 named foals in his first four crops. Unfortunately, he was ninth on the 2017 freshman sire leaderboard and dropped to $12,500 for 2018, resulting in only 23 foals in 2019, yearlings of 2020—so even if we have sales, there won't be many yearlings by Paynter offered.

Things started to improve for Paynter in 2018. He finished third on that year's second-crop sires list behind Violence and Take Charge Indy with help from his grade 1-winning 2-year-old son Knicks Go. In 2019, when he covered 97 mares at $12,500, he was the No. 3 third-crop sire behind Take Charge Indy and Declaration of War, with four black-type winners, 12 black-type horses, and 2019 earners of $6 million, and he finished 2019 with a very respectable 1.71 APEX A Runner Index, the highest among F2015 sires still standing in North America.

In 2020, he is the second-leading North American fourth-crop sire behind only New Year's Day and already has four black-type winners and seven black-type horses, including 3-year-old fillies Queen of God, the winner of the Maxim Crane Works Bourbonette Oaks at Turfway Park, and Ring Leader, the winner of the Dixie Belle Stakes at Oaklawn Park.

Verdict: After blowing the start, Paynter has consistently notched up respectable figures for a $10,000 stallion. For breeders who still have a mare seeking a mate, he is exceptionally good value right now. In my opinion.

---

Click here to read the full article 

Paynter's Merveilleux wins third leg of Canadian Triple Tiara title=
Paynter

Paynter's Merveilleux wins third leg of Canadian Triple Tiara

Merveilleux added her name to Paynter's impressive list of seven stakes winners in 2020 on Sunday with a commanding victory in the $250,000 Wonder Where S...

[read more]

Outwork gets 10th winner in Churchill Downs maiden special weight title=
Outwork

Outwork gets 10th winner in Churchill Downs maiden special weight

Malloy's rally in deep stretch carried the 2-year-old Outwork filly to a half-length maiden special weight win Sunday at Churchill Downs...

[read more]

Laobanonaprayer breaks maiden in style in stakes debut title=
Laoban

Laobanonaprayer breaks maiden in style in stakes debut

Laoban's impressive run of First-Crop stakes horses continued on Saturday when Laobanonaprayer powered her way to a 5 1/2-length victory in the $150,000 Maid of the Mist S...

[read more]

Front-running MdSpWt win at Keeneland for Exaggerator filly title=
Exaggerator

Front-running MdSpWt win at Keeneland for Exaggerator filly

Top-three First-Crop sire Exaggerator's winners' total increased to 11 on Friday at Keeneland when the filly Color of Dawn tallied a 1 3/4-length maiden special weight win...

[read more]

WinStar announces 2021 stallion roster and fees title=

WinStar announces 2021 stallion roster and fees

WinStar Farm has set 2021 stud fees for its 22-stallion roster, headed by Speightstown who will stand for $90,000 S&N and leading Second-Crop Sire Constitution who will stand for $85,000 S&N...

[read more]

Leading New York Freshman Sire Laoban relocating to WinStar Farm title=

Leading New York Freshman Sire Laoban relocating to WinStar Farm

Jim Dandy S. (G2) winner Laoban, a son of champion and perennial leading sire Uncle Mo, is relocating from Sequel Stallions in New York to WinStar Farm. A limited number of seasons will be offered at $25,000 S&N until the Breeders’ Cup. The fee is subject to change pending results as Laoban has contenders in the $2,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), the $2,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), and the $1,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1).

[read more]

Exaggerator tallies a pair of Sunday maiden winners title=
Exaggerator

Exaggerator tallies a pair of Sunday maiden winners

Yellowstone Girl and Manhattan Grace both broke their maidens on Sunday, upping Exaggerator's First-Crop winners' total to ten...

[read more]

More Than Ready's Say the Word uncorks big rally to win Northern Dancer Turf (G1) title=
More Than Ready

More Than Ready's Say the Word uncorks big rally to win Northern Dancer Turf (G1)

Say the Word got his first stakes win in thrilling fashion Sunday at Woodbine, coming from the back of the pack at the top of the stretch to win the $300,000 Northern Dancer Turf S. (G1)...

[read more]

Tourist filly finishes with a flourish on Woodbine turf title=
Tourist

Tourist filly finishes with a flourish on Woodbine turf

Hadley made up a four-length deficit in the final furlong of a one-mile turf maiden Saturday at Woodbine to win by a length...

[read more]

Exaggerator filly debuts a 8 1/4-length winner title=
Exaggerator

Exaggerator filly debuts a 8 1/4-length winner

Expurgated's blowout win Wednesday in her racing debut at Parx gave Exaggerator his seventh First-Crop winner...

[read more]