Bill Oppenheim's "In My Opinion"
Monday, March 23, 2020

An excerpt of Bill Oppenheim's "In My Opinion" column in BloodHorse Daily, posted on March 22.

---

Under the RADAR: Fourth-Crop Sire Paynter

It's not easy for sires to keep their spots on the Kentucky stallion roster. The top 10 North American sires who went to stud in 2014 (first foals in 2015, first 5-year-olds in 2020) by cumulative progeny earnings all started off in Kentucky, but only five of the 10 still stand there. Interestingly, four of the five no longer in Kentucky—New Year's Day (via Brazil), Declaration of War, Shanghai Bobby, and Animal Kingdom—are in Japan; Flat Out  is now in Oklahoma.

Of those who remain, only Violence , second by cumulative progeny earnings to New Year's Day, the sire of Maximum Security, stands for more than $20,000, and only Declaration of War has more than one grade/group 1 winner. Take Charge Indy , third by cumulative progeny earnings, was justifiably repatriated from South Korea by WinStar and stands for $17,500; but it is another WinStar stallion, fourth-ranked Paynter, whose name keeps popping up on the score sheets, to the point where he is looking exceptionally good value at his current $10,000 stud fee. 

Paynter was a $325,000 yearling trained by Bob Baffert for Zayat Stables and was a frontrunning, two-turn 3-year-old in 2012 when he set the pace and finished second, a neck behind Union Rags, in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and kicked clear off a contested pace to win the Haskell Invitational Stakes (G1).

By Ghostzapper's sire, Awesome Again, out of a full sister to Tiznow , Paynter went to stud at WinStar Farm, where he stood his first two seasons for $25,000, then the next two for $20,000, and registered over 340 named foals in his first four crops. Unfortunately, he was ninth on the 2017 freshman sire leaderboard and dropped to $12,500 for 2018, resulting in only 23 foals in 2019, yearlings of 2020—so even if we have sales, there won't be many yearlings by Paynter offered.

Things started to improve for Paynter in 2018. He finished third on that year's second-crop sires list behind Violence and Take Charge Indy with help from his grade 1-winning 2-year-old son Knicks Go. In 2019, when he covered 97 mares at $12,500, he was the No. 3 third-crop sire behind Take Charge Indy and Declaration of War, with four black-type winners, 12 black-type horses, and 2019 earners of $6 million, and he finished 2019 with a very respectable 1.71 APEX A Runner Index, the highest among F2015 sires still standing in North America.

In 2020, he is the second-leading North American fourth-crop sire behind only New Year's Day and already has four black-type winners and seven black-type horses, including 3-year-old fillies Queen of God, the winner of the Maxim Crane Works Bourbonette Oaks at Turfway Park, and Ring Leader, the winner of the Dixie Belle Stakes at Oaklawn Park.

Verdict: After blowing the start, Paynter has consistently notched up respectable figures for a $10,000 stallion. For breeders who still have a mare seeking a mate, he is exceptionally good value right now. In my opinion.

---

Click here to read the full article 

Bill Oppenheim's

Bill Oppenheim's "In My Opinion"

Under the RADAR: Fourth-Crop Sire Paynter

[read more]

Solid finish for Tourist juvenile at OBS March 2YO Sale title=
Tourist

Solid finish for Tourist juvenile at OBS March 2YO Sale

First-Crop sire Tourist wrapped up the 2020 OBS March Sale of 2-year-olds in Training on Wednesday with a $145,000 colt...

[read more]

$550,000 Constitution colt on top at OBS 2YO sale title=
Constitution

$550,000 Constitution colt on top at OBS 2YO sale

In the latter half of Wednesday's session of the OBS 2-year-olds in Training sale, a colt by Constitution that sold for $550,000 represented the top price paid...

[read more]

$380,000 Outwork colt takes center stage Wednesday at OBS title=
Outwork

$380,000 Outwork colt takes center stage Wednesday at OBS

A colt from the first crop of Grade 1 winner Outwork brought a winning bid of $380,000 during Wednesday's session of the OBS 2-year-olds in Training sale...

[read more]

Exaggerator colt sells for $180,000 during OBS 2yo sale opener title=
Exaggerator

Exaggerator colt sells for $180,000 during OBS 2yo sale opener

First-crop sire Exaggerator was represented by an $180,000 colt during Tuesday's opening session of the OBS March Sale of 2-year-olds...

[read more]

Strong start for Speightster at OBS 2yo sale title=
Speightster

Strong start for Speightster at OBS 2yo sale

Among Speightster's first 2-year-olds offered at auction Tuesday at the OBS March Sale was a colt that went for $200,000...

[read more]

Charlatan spectacular in first two-turn effort title=

Charlatan spectacular in first two-turn effort

Speightstown's dynamic 3-year-old colt Charlatan turned in another stunning performance Saturday at Santa Anita Park in what was just the Bob Baffert trainee's second lifetime start...

[read more]

Queen of God weaves her way to victory in $150,000 Bourbonette Oaks title=
Paynter

Queen of God weaves her way to victory in $150,000 Bourbonette Oaks

Leading Fourth-Crop sire Paynter's Queen of God tallied her second stakes win of the year Saturday when she scored by three-quarters of a length in the $150,000 Bourbonette Oaks...

[read more]

Congrats' Bango sets track record in Animal Kingdom S. title=
Congrats

Congrats' Bango sets track record in Animal Kingdom S.

Bango turned in the best race of his young career Saturday with a track record performance in the Animal Kingdom S. at Turfway Park...

[read more]

Speightstown's Flagstaff gets first graded win in $200,000 San Carlos S. (G2) title=
Speightstown

Speightstown's Flagstaff gets first graded win in $200,000 San Carlos S. (G2)

Flagstaff struck the front in the final furlong of Saturday's $200,000 San Carlos S. (G2) at Santa...

[read more]